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      <title>Hope is not a plan</title>
      <link>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/</link>
      <description></description>
      <language>en</language>
      <copyright>Copyright 2008</copyright>
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      <docs>http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss</docs> 

            <item>
         <title>Bravery</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>This week has seen the release of various CCTV footage clips from the Mumbai attacks of last week. <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/7760690.stm">This clip from the attack on the Chhatrapati Shivaji Terminus</a> is exceptional not for the terrorism it shows, but for the heroism of the two police officers who shared between them a total of one bolt-action rifle and nonetheless held their position against two terrorists armed with automatic weapons.</p>

<p>This incident has unfortunately demonstrated that the difficulty in security in India does not stem from a lack of bravery, but from underequipping and probably also insufficient training (which is just another form of equipping, really) of its security forces. These two gentleman were brave enough to hold the line, but they shouldn't have had to rely on bravery alone.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/12/bravery.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/12/bravery.html</guid>
         <category>South Asia</category>
         <pubDate>Wed, 03 Dec 2008 12:24:18 -0800</pubDate>
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            <item>
         <title>&quot;In principle everything except the explosive can be recycled...&quot;</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>Back in February of this year, delegates from over a hundred nations <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/02/banning_the_elements_of_persis.html">met to discuss the banning of cluster munitions</a>. Early next month, these nations will sign the proposed treaty into law, and hundreds of nations will eschew the use of persistent warfare methods that cripple and kill civilians long after the conflict is over.</p>

<p>As I described in <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/02/banning_the_elements_of_persis.html">this earlier post</a>, the major arms distributors -- the U.S., China, and Russia -- didn't attend the original conference and are highly unlikely to be signatories to the treaty. However, as Thomas Nash from the <a href="http://www.stopclustermunitions.org/">Cluster Munition Coalition</a> points out, getting this many countries to sign on, including NATO members, will help to preclude the use of cluster weapons in future operations:</p>

<p><i>"What you are going to see is a comprehensive stigmatisation of the weapon," he says.</p>

<p>"Countries that don't sign up won't be able to use this weapon on operations with those that do.</p>

<p>"You're going to see this weapon becoming a thing of the past." </i></p>

<p>Lacking its own facilities to decommission these munitions, the United Kingdom has contracted with <a href="http://www.nammo.com/templates/BusinessUnit.aspx?id=155">Nammo Demil</a> to destroy 28 million bomblets. Pleasingly, the bomblets are largely recyclable:</p>

<p><i>The bomblets are extracted, the fuses are cut off and the copper inners are removed.</p>

<p>The explosive is then burnt off using red hot plasma.</p>

<p>The copper, aluminium and other metals are sold for scrap. The packaging for the bomblets is burnt for heating.</i></p>

<p>This is a hopeful sign for the future.</p>

<p><a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/7724738.stm">BBC article</a></p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/11/in_principle_everything_except.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/11/in_principle_everything_except.html</guid>
         <category>Public Health</category>
         <pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2008 22:53:21 -0800</pubDate>
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            <item>
         <title>A proxy for fear</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>In the last month or so of the election, our now president-elect was simultaneously called a Socialist and a "hidden" Muslim (ignoring, perhaps, the various disagreements Muslims and nominal Socialists have had in places like Afghanistan and Chechnya in the past). A friend of mine very accurately said that these things are all just a proxy for fear. It's the same generic fear of the world that thinks that a president can fundamentally, say, alter the second amendment.</p>

<p>As an aside, I'd appreciate it if there were more overlap between avid support for the second amendment and avid support for the first. After all, the point of the guns is not having guns, but keeping government from becoming an entity independent of and in suppression of the people. The second supports the first, and without the first, there's not much value in the second.</p>

<p>This week, <a href="http://broun.house.gov/">Representative Paul Broun</a> said this:</p>

<p><i>"It may sound a bit crazy and off base, but the thing is, he's the one who proposed this national security force," Rep. Paul Broun said of Obama in an interview Monday with The Associated Press. "I'm just trying to bring attention to the fact that we may — may not, I hope not — but we may have a problem with that type of philosophy of radical socialism or Marxism."</p>

<p>Broun cited a July speech by Obama that has circulated on the Internet in which the then-Democratic presidential candidate called for a civilian force to take some of the national security burden off the military.<br />
"That's exactly what Hitler did in Nazi Germany and it's exactly what the Soviet Union did," Broun said. "When he's proposing to have a national security force that's answering to him, that is as strong as the U.S. military, he's showing me signs of being Marxist."</i></p>

<p>There is, perhaps, some irony in a white guy from Georgia comparing a black man from Illinois to Hitler.</p>

<p>After making the comparison, Broun disingenuously said he wasn't making the comparison. Notably, despite his fears of Obama-lead Brown Shirts marching through our streets, the program Obama is actually suggesting was for an emphasis on <b>overseas</b>, civilian-based security services. In other words, as <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2006/05/learning_to_eat_soup_with_a_kn_1.html">many of our own officers have noted</a>, and as <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2006/01/brigadier_nigel_aylwinfoster_c.html">our allies have observed</a>, the United States military is not a police force. It's not supposed to be. Our soldiers do their best to help with rebuilding and securing Iraq and Afghanistan, but fundamentally, it would be better to have properly trained, nonmilitary personnel handling many of these jobs.</p>

<p>But nonetheless, pandering to what he no doubt views as his core demographic -- whether that's true or not -- Broun has misrepresented our next president's remarks and has chosen to spend his time in scared guy fantasy land, where he can pretend to be Tom Hanks in his own personal Saving Private Ryan.</p>

<p>I'll let my search results just now in looking for Broun's congressional page have the last word:</p>

<p><img alt="PaulBrounFail.jpg" src="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/PaulBrounFail.jpg" width="420" height="57" /></p>

<p><a href="http://news.aol.com/elections/article/republican-warns-of-obama-dictatorship/243817">AOL article</a></p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/11/a_proxy_for_fear.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/11/a_proxy_for_fear.html</guid>
         <category>American politics</category>
         <pubDate>Fri, 14 Nov 2008 14:19:46 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>$1.87</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>In attacking the current financial bailout package, Alaskan Governor Palin had these words for us this week:</p>

<p><i> "We're hearing now more talk of additional taxpayer bailouts ... for companies, for corporations, perhaps even states now who may be standing in line with their hands out despite, perhaps, some poor management decisions on their part that helped tank our economy," she said.</p>

<p>"Republicans can help shore [these sectors of the economy] up without getting any more addicted to opium, other people's money. We need to have a rational discussion. What and when is enough enough?"</i></p>

<p>To that, what can we say except <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/the_specter_of_socialism_in_re.html">$1.87 of Federal spending into Alaska for each $1 paid in Federal taxes by Alaska</a>.</p>

<p>So there are states standing in line for Federal handouts? Shameful.</p>

<p><a href="http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/11/13/palin.rga/index.html?iref=mpstoryview">CNN article</a></p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/11/187.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/11/187.html</guid>
         <category>American politics</category>
         <pubDate>Thu, 13 Nov 2008 10:54:19 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Flowers in the garden, perhaps</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>Just this last March, a 14-year-old ceasefire between Armenia and Azerbaijan was breached during an incident in the disputed Nagorno-Karabakh region. I gave some background on that situation <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/03/blood_in_the_black_garden.html">here</a>, but the short version is that the Nogorno-Karabakh region, located just west of center in Azerbaijan, is predominantly an ethnic Armenian enclave. Since the fall of the Soviet Union, underlying tensions here have been resurrected full force, including fighting from 1991 to 1994, and again this year.</p>

<p>Now, reportedly spurred on by the disastrous outcome of <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/08/not_so_much_peacekeeping_as_wa.html">Georgia's recent attempt to rein in South Ossetia</a>, the two nations involved have signed a new agreement to "facilitate the improvement of the situation in the South Caucasus and establishment of stability and security in the region through a political settlement of the conflict based on the principles and norms of international law and the decisions and documents adopted in this framework". Those are the words of Dmitry Medvedev, who helped broker the agreement.</p>

<p>The government of Azerbaijan is surely very aware of the fate of the last government that challenged one of Russia's pet ethnic groups, and wants to avoid being the next Georgia. At the same time, out-and-out ceding of Nogorno-Karabakh represents a loss of one fifth of Azerbaijan, which also seems unacceptable, especially as it will further disrupt the already discontinuous structure of the country by punching a big hole in the center.</p>

<p><a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7705067.stm">BBC article</a></p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/11/flowers_in_the_garden_perhaps.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/11/flowers_in_the_garden_perhaps.html</guid>
         <category>Europe</category>
         <pubDate>Mon, 10 Nov 2008 13:00:39 -0800</pubDate>
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            <item>
         <title>Say more, show less</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>As I've discussed before, abstinence-only sex education is clearly ineffective, with <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2007/01/abstinence_not_hardly.html">up to 95% of Americans engaging in premarital sex</a> and a concomitantly high rate of teen pregnancy and <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/03/one_in_four.html">sexually transmitted diseases</a>. Despite the lack of good empirical support for any value in trying to tell kids to act the way <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2007/01/abstinence_not_hardly.html">their parents didn't</a>, abstinence-only sex education has nonetheless been the Federal mandate for the past eight years, a mandate that bleeds unhelpfully over into the restrictions we place on <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2007/08/pepfar_pledges_and_harm_enhanc.html">public health money</a> we donate to other countries.</p>

<p>So, if abstinence-only is a bust, what can we do?</p>

<p>In a recent study published in the journal <i>Pediatrics</i>, Rand researchers Chandra <i>et al</i> find that teens exposed to very high levels of sexual content on television are significantly more likely to get pregnant or get someone else pregnant. Specifically, those in the 90th percentile for amount of sexual content watched on television were twice as likely to end up involved in a pregnancy as those in the 10th percentile. Although this study doesn't show causation, it does point to a potential problem and mirror other concerns about <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2007/06/disease_big_and_small.html">how sexual behavior is modeled in the media</a>.</p>

<p>Note that the point is not necessarily "sex bad," but rather "sex portrayal bad." If you catalog the sexual material you've been exposed to on television recently, how much of it involves the use of safer sex items (e.g. condoms) and sexual interactions between healthy, long-term adult couples, and how much of it involves wild, seemingly spur-of-the-moment sex between people who don't really know each other? In the wake of a recent proposal to alter how sex education is done in England, much discussion ensued about how lower teen pregnancy rates in many Western European countries probably have a lot to do with open, healthy discussion of sexuality between teens and their parents -- giving the teens good models to work from.</p>

<p><i>He thinks the real problem is cultural - teens wanting to lose their virginity fast and sociable girls having nothing to lose by getting pregnant.</p>

<p>He said: "On the whole [in Holland] they teach less sex education than England.</p>

<p>"They rely on parents to deliver the social and emotional content of sex education.</p>

<p>"Parents should be doing this and if they're not, God help us."</p>

<p>Professor van Loon says in Holland parents are more likely to spend time talking to their children and the emphasis is more on the romantic side of sex. </i></p>

<p><a href="http://www.rand.org/health/abstracts/2008/11/chandra.html">Rand summary of the study</a></p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/11/say_more_show_less.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/11/say_more_show_less.html</guid>
         <category>Public Health</category>
         <pubDate>Mon, 10 Nov 2008 12:47:57 -0800</pubDate>
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            <item>
         <title>Our next president</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><img alt="ObamaAndMom.jpg" src="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/ObamaAndMom.jpg" width="300" height="397" /></p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/11/our_next_president.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/11/our_next_president.html</guid>
         <category>American politics</category>
         <pubDate>Wed, 05 Nov 2008 13:00:08 -0800</pubDate>
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            <item>
         <title>Election day</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>A thought from <a href="http://muskrat-john.livejournal.com/227551.html">John Kovalic</a>, on election day:</p>

<p><i>A lot of my friends in the USA are posting things like, "If you don't plan to vote today, PLEASE vote. Every vote is important. Just vote."</p>

<p>I say the hell with that.</p>

<p>If you're not planning on voting today, and if you haven't already voted, keep your lazy ass at home.</p>

<p>If you do vote, you'll probably just ruin it for the rest of us.</i></p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/11/election_day.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/11/election_day.html</guid>
         <category>American politics</category>
         <pubDate>Tue, 04 Nov 2008 13:05:21 -0800</pubDate>
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            <item>
         <title>The bad religion of epidemic disease</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>NBC chief medical editor Dr. Nancy Snyderman interviews Dr. Paul Offit on the Today show:</p>

<p><iframe height="339" width="425" src="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/22425001/vp/27453507#27453507" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe></p>

<p>I recommend watching through to the end, where Dr. Snyderman refuses to back down when Matt Lauer suggests that the belief that vaccines cause autism is "controversial." As Dr. Snyderman correctly points out, it is not controversial -- the evidence says that vaccines do not cause autism, no matter how many people believe that in the absence of any evidence. Much more can be found on this topic elsewhere, but the short version is that those who promote the idea of vaccines causing autism have moved the goalposts several times to accommodate their beliefs, even as the evidence remains the same.</p>

<p>The suggestion that there's some kind of vast "vaccine industry" at work manipulating results is especially noxious, as vaccines are notoriously poor money-making propositions for a pharma firm (wouldn't you rather make an <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2006/05/disease_mongering.html">erectile dysfunction drug</a> and make serious bank?). And, as infectious disease doctor <a href="http://pusware.com/rdct/">Mark Crislip</a> points out, if it was all about the money, you'd let these epidemic diseases run wild. After all, why get paid once to vaccinate some kid for polio when you can hook them in for a lifetime of expensive care once it paralyzes them?</p>

<p>Obviously, that "logic" is not at work in the real world, where pediatricians encourage vaccinations precisely because these childhood diseases are so devastating.</p>

<p>Dr. Snyderman is arguing from evidence, evidence for the safety and efficacy of vaccines, evidence that keeps popping up in well-designed research studies, including <a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/listTrackbacks.action;jsessionid=EC6759DFE57410E1143C652652A37730?trackbackId=info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0003140">this one from a former proponent of the autism-MMR vaccine link</a>, who actually tested her ideas and found that there was no support for that association.</p>

<p>It's been suggested that vaccines are the single most important discovery of modern medical science. It makes little sense to trade those in for pandemic disease and a life of hardship.</p>

<p><a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/27440647/">The Today Show article</a></p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/the_bad_religion_of_epidemic_d.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/the_bad_religion_of_epidemic_d.html</guid>
         <category>Public Health</category>
         <pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 12:22:46 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Spread the wealth for victory</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>In its last-ditch effort to get Americans to vote against our best interest, the McCain campaign has been accusing Obama of wanting to "spread the wealth" by proposing a progressive tax plan -- that is, taxes that ratchet down for those who make less and up for those who make more. This stands in opposition to McCain's proposal to flatten out the tax progression, saving money for those who are already well off.</p>

<p>The concept of a progressive tax is labeled, in dire terms, as <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/whats_the_socialists_real_plan.html">socialist</a>, even though those who are being sold on the idea of avoiding this "spreading of wealth" are often those who <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/the_specter_of_socialism_in_re.html">benefit the most from it</a>.</p>

<p>But wait. Let's put aside all ideas of reappropriating wealth in society for the moment, and consider something else.</p>

<p>We are at war.</p>

<p>Two years ago, I took a look at the American history of <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2006/03/war_or_tax_cuts_pick_one.html">taxation during war</a>. At the time, George Bush was pushing for his faith-based tax cuts -- I call it "faith-based" not as a dig at religion, but because there's no empirical basis for believing that cutting taxes, especially cutting them for the already wealthy, will actually promote the wellbeing of the economy in general. More to the point, however, cutting taxes <i>in the middle of a war</i> seemed like a bad idea, so I went and looked at the history (again, see <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2006/03/war_or_tax_cuts_pick_one.html">the link</a>).</p>

<p>During World War II, the marginal tax rate went as high as 94%. That is, the wealthiest of Americans had the upper portion of their earnings almost completely taxed. During the Korean war, that rate went as high as 87%.</p>

<p>Now that we're at war again -- and it's a big one, with hundreds of thousands of troops committed across multiple fronts -- our highest marginal tax rate is 33%. At the same time, our military is <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2007/02/gao_army_may_not_be_requipping.html">falling behind in fixing and replacing equipment</a> as we attempt to fight a massive war "on the cheap." Nonetheless, a number of Republican senators blocked a proposal to <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2007/07/no_american_wants_to_allow_a_s.html">put aside more funding for military reset</a> in July of last year.</p>

<p>What's going on here? Are we so afraid of supporting ourselves as a group that we can't put aside funding to fight a multiple-front war? Are we that much worse than our forebears, that we can't pay more in a time of need?</p>

<p>The rational choice in support of our national defense right now is to pay more, especially those of us who can afford it. If paying more to armor up our soldiers is socialism, then I guess I'm on board.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/spread_the_wealth_for_victory.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/spread_the_wealth_for_victory.html</guid>
         <category>American politics</category>
         <pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2008 21:38:50 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Third party and beyond</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>As we careen in toward election day, maybe you're asking yourself <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/taking_the_chisel_to_yourself.html">how you can escape a party that no longer represents your conservative values</a> or <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/whats_the_socialists_real_plan.html">where you can find some real socialism</a>. If so, you're in luck. Well, at least if you're voting in California, you're in luck. You have options. It's not just one, but several third-party candidates, including:</p>

<p>Ron Paul -- For those who never got over Ron leaving the Republican primary. However, you might not want to cast your vote here, because Ron Paul has apparently endorsed...</p>

<p><a href="http://www.baldwin08.com/">Chuck Baldwin</a> of the Constitution party, who believes the Constitution is not just a good idea, but given by divine providence. I'm afraid I can't get behind that, but it's nice to see that Chuck has debated...</p>

<p><a href="http://www.votenader.org/">Ralph Nader</a>, who is running as the Peace and Freedom candidate, leaving...</p>

<p><a href="http://www2.runcynthiarun.org/">Cynthia McKinney</a> as the Green candidate. Note that of the parties on this list, the Greens are by far (to my mind) the most legitimate, having made many gains at the regional and local levels, even if they can't yet crack the presidency. From here, we go on to...</p>

<p><a href="http://www.alankeyes.com/">Alan Keyes</a>, here to promote a return to true conservativism. If, on the other hand, you want honest to God real socialism (none of that namby-pamby "normal income taxes" stuff), we have...</p>

<p><a href="http://www.themilitant.com/campaign/">James Harris</a> of the Socialist Workers Party. I didn't realize we actually had a Socialist anything party. Finally, we can go to two rather different takes on wild freedom with...</p>

<p><a href="http://www.frankmooreforpresident08.com/">Frank Moore</a>, who advocates universal minimum income and universal healthcare, and...</p>

<p><a href="http://www.bobbarr2008.com/home/skip/?s=0618">Bob Barr</a> of the Libertarian party, who doubtless has succeeded entirely on his own with no help from anyone.</p>

<p>Being less facetious, I think there is a legitimate space in the electoral market for parties with relatively sane party lines that nonetheless differ from our two big ones. Of the parties above, I think the Green Party fits that metric. There may well be room for a "true conservative" party in the future as well, whether it occurs by the expelling of the nutters from the current Republican party or the creation of a new third party that doesn't focus on hardline libertarian or religious nuttiness. Sort of a party of ethical accountants, as it were.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/third_party_and_beyond.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/third_party_and_beyond.html</guid>
         <category>American politics</category>
         <pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 17:47:58 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Taking the chisel to yourself</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p><I>Traditionally, American Muslims have often supported the Republicans. However, this election is turning things around.</p>

<p>With the economy wobbly and Republican President Bush talking in tough and condemnatory terms about radical Islamic groups worldwide, many are switching sides and promising to give Obama their vote.</p>

<p>Azeem Khan, 27, is one of them. He said: "There are many Muslims who say because of what they've seen in the past eight years they can't bring themselves, in their lifetime, to vote for a Republican.</i></p>

<p>This is pretty much what <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/narrowing_your_base.html">I've been saying</a>. By choosing to focus on the <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/the_party_of_xenophobia.html">narrow slice of the party that is afraid of everything</a>, the Republican leadership is pushing out those who were once attracted either the socially or fiscally conservative history of the party, including Muslims, Latinos, and others.</p>

<p>And why wouldn't they feel alienated by a party leadership that's now pandering to this nonsense?</p>

<p><i>Polls here suggest 10% of Americans still think Obama is a Muslim.</p>

<p>This Texan woman who didn't want to give Newsbeat her name is one of them.</p>

<p>She said: "I really don't care what Obama says because I don't want someone with a Muslim background running our country.</p>

<p>"He'll be letting them all come over here and he'll be buddy buddy with them all.</p>

<p>"We'll be giving them nuclear arms. Next thing you know they'll be attacking us again." </I></p>

<p>About the only thing that unnamed woman in question got right is that, historically, we have helped fund and arm some of the people who ended up causing us problems, including supporting Saddam Hussein and providing arms to Islamic radicals in Afghanistan. Of course, these things were done when Mr. Obama was in his late teens and early twenties, so I think we'll need to find someone else to blame.</p>

<p><a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/newsbeat/hi/the_p_word/newsid_7695000/7695727.stm">BBC article</a></p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/taking_the_chisel_to_yourself.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/taking_the_chisel_to_yourself.html</guid>
         <category>American politics</category>
         <pubDate>Wed, 29 Oct 2008 10:36:35 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>What&apos;s the socialists&apos; real plan for America?</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>One of you came to this site from that search phrase. I'm not sure where "the socialists" actually keep their plans, but I'm happy to suggest that people who fear the specter of socialism turn the way back machine to <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/the_specter_of_socialism_in_re.html">this post from last week</a>, where I explore how we've been "spreading the wealth" from the wealthy states such as California and New York to those who apparently need it, including the putatively independently minded state of Alaska, which gets a solid $1.87 back for every $1 it pays into the Federal budget.</p>

<p>It's mildly saddening to watch people decry the concept of supporting your community as "socialist," especially since those same people probably drove to work on an Interstate highway, have a subsidized home loan, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ARPANET">use the Internet</a>, and expect to rely on Medicare someday. Yes, the term "socialism" gained an indelible association with totalitarian governments, but guess what -- helping each other is a fundamentally sane and all-American value.</p>

<p>Or to put it another way: I like roads.</p>

<p>You all are free to <a href="http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/the_specter_of_socialism_in_re.html">give back our money</a> and opt out of using these services, but I like paying in to make my country better.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/whats_the_socialists_real_plan.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/whats_the_socialists_real_plan.html</guid>
         <category>American politics</category>
         <pubDate>Tue, 28 Oct 2008 13:08:03 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Colin Powell&apos;s endorsement</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>Worth watching in its entirety:</p>

<p><iframe height="339" width="425" src="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/22425001/vp/27265490#27265490" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe></p>

<p>More on Corporal Khan <a href="http://thelede.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/10/19/more-on-the-soldier-kareem-r-khan/">here</a>.</p>

<p>The picture that is referred to in the segment is <a href="http://www.newyorker.com/online/2008/09/29/slideshow_080929_platon?slide=16#showHeader">here</a>.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/colin_powells_endorsement.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/colin_powells_endorsement.html</guid>
         <category>American politics</category>
         <pubDate>Fri, 24 Oct 2008 18:42:33 -0800</pubDate>
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         <title>Failure to self regulate</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>The single, glaring flaw in contemporary economic policy has been its faith-based nature. Despite the ability to empirically evaluate how people will behave, Alan Greenspan and his followers chose to believe that the market was basically always right, and that things would work out optimally. Notably, the 2007 Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences (i.e. the Economics Nobel Prize) was given to recognize research into <a href="http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2007/press.html">the design of economic systems in light of the fact that things are not optimal</a>.</p>

<p>In testimony before Congress yesterday, Alan expressed his "shock" at investor's lack of self regulation even though it would have been in their long-term best interest:</p>

<p><I>Greenspan said he was shocked at the banks' inability to self-regulate and blamed over-eager investors for the sub-prime housing meltdown that led to the financial crisis, our correspondent said.</i></p>

<p>Apparently, our boy Al has never seen an overweight person of any kind (and a good <a href="http://www.cdc.gov/nccdphp/dnpa/obesity/">one third of adults in this country are obese</a>). Humans did not evolve in an environment of plenty, or of collaborative financial planning for optimal group outcomes (especially not that second one). We regulate things that can go drastically out of balance specifically because people don't always regulate themselves in their own best interests. Some people are opportunists, others criminals, but most just won't be able to see how their behavior plays into the system as a whole. Certainly, people aren't especially good at self regulating and just deciding not to optimize their own gain.</p>

<p>Faith-based economics is a poor practice, Alan Greenspan's citation of a prior lack of collapse as evidence of success notwithstanding.</p>

<p><a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7687101.stm">BBC article</a><br />
<a href="http://english.aljazeera.net/business/2008/10/20081023161043967668.html">al Jazeera article</a></p>]]></description>
         <link>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/failure_to_self_regulate.html</link>
         <guid>http://www.hopeisnotaplan.com/2008/10/failure_to_self_regulate.html</guid>
         <category>Economics</category>
         <pubDate>Fri, 24 Oct 2008 11:52:54 -0800</pubDate>
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